Along with the UIS, we have just released the latest figures on out-of-school children on VIEW, a new web platform. They show that 244 million children and youth around the world, or one in six, are still excluded from education. Overall, 98 million or the largest share of out-of-school children and youth are found in sub-Saharan Africa, where the number is actually increasing. Of those, 20 million are in Nigeria, up from 13 million in 2010. This mean it is the country with the third largest out-of-school population in the world after India and Pakistan. But Nigeria holds the unenviable position of being the country with the largest population of out-of-school children of primary school age: 9.6 million in 2020, up from 6.4 million n 2000 and 7.5 million in 2010.
This is the first time in 10 years that an estimate has been published for Nigeria. Historically, such estimates have relied exclusively on administrative data, which have been incomplete. Moreover, they rely on population estimates, which are also imprecise given that there has not been a population census since 2006 and even so the history these censuses have been highly contested. However, several household surveys have taken place in Nigeria over the last two decades. Such data had not been used before. A new methodology proposed by the UIS and the GEM Report has enabled the use of multiple data sources to update these estimates, following similar practices in the estimation of flagship health indicators.
The evidence suggests that the out-of-school rate among children of primary school age has hardly changed in 20 years, having fallen from 33% in 2000 to 27% in 2012 but remaining stagnant ever since. But the out-of-school rate among adolescents and youth of lower and upper secondary school age has been increasing since 2008, reaching 31% and 40% respectively by 2020.
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